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India-England Test: Will rain ruin Old Trafford?

Published On: July 22, 2025
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India faces a must-win situation against England in the 4th Test at Old Trafford, where persistent rain and a potentially tricky pitch are set to play significant roles.

The Stakes Are High for India

The fourth Test against England at Old Trafford is a do-or-die fixture for India in the Anderson-Tendulkar Trophy. After a thrilling loss in the Lord’s Test, India is currently trailing 1-2 in the five-match series. A defeat here would mean losing the series, making this an absolutely crucial match for the visitors.

India Grapples with Injuries

The Indian team has been battling a concerning list of injuries and knocks throughout the series. All-rounder Nitish Kumar Reddy, who played vital roles in the second and third Tests, has unfortunately been ruled out for the remainder of the series.

There are also ongoing concerns about Rishabh Pant’s ability to keep wickets, following an injury he sustained in the third Test. Fast bowler Akash Deep has also been ruled out, adding to India’s challenges. The team is also carefully managing the workload of pace spearhead Jasprit Bumrah.

Manchester’s Relentless Rain Forecast

Upon their arrival in Manchester, the Indian team was greeted by persistent showers, and the city has been consistently wet for the past week. The forecast indicates light to moderate rain for the majority of the five days of the Test match, suggesting potential delays and interruptions to play.

Wednesday, the opening day, has a high probability of rain at 65%, with temperatures ranging from 14 to 19 degrees Celsius. This means we can expect rain delays, especially early in the match which starts at 11 AM local time.

The probability of rain increases even further on Day 2, climbing to 85%, with temperatures between 12 and 21 degrees Celsius. While the forecast improves for the third and fourth days, Day 5 still carries a 40% chance of precipitation, indicating possible late-match interruptions.

Old Trafford Pitch Report

Given the damp weather conditions, the Old Trafford pitch is expected to have significant moisture on day one. This will be advantageous for fast bowlers, who can exploit the conditions and overcast skies. Historically, the pitch tends to dry out over time.

Former England players like Mike Atherton have suggested that wrist-spinners, such as Kuldeep Yadav, could become effective as the match progresses. However, the humid conditions and India’s injury woes might prompt the team management, including Gautam Gambhir and Shubman Gill, to consider bringing in Shardul Thakur as a pace-bowling all-rounder, possibly as a replacement for Nitish Kumar Reddy.

  • India trails 1-2 in the series and must win to avoid a series loss.
  • Key players like Nitish Kumar Reddy and Akash Deep are ruled out due to injury.
  • Persistent rain is forecasted for most of the Test, especially on Days 1 and 2.
  • The pitch is expected to favor fast bowlers early due to moisture.

The stage is set for a dramatic encounter, where not just skill, but also adaptability to the unpredictable Manchester weather, will be key to success.

Atish Ranjan

Atish Ranjan is a sports commentator and editor with over a decade of experience following and analyzing global sports culture. He has contributed to regional news platforms and fan-led commentary spaces, offering deep takes on performance, psychology, and momentum in competitive arenas. A former college-level athlete, Atish brings a player’s instinct and a strategist’s clarity to every piece. His stories are grounded in real dynamics — not just headlines. Find him on LinkedIn.

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